Christmas 2026
US snow map
Compare the chance of at least one inch of snow on the ground across every state. Select a state to open its place-level hex map.
11%
Typical US chance
State outlook
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State values are population-weighted among indexed Census places. Boundaries come from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2025 TIGERweb state layer; probabilities use the active validated 1991–2020 spatial model.
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Browse leading states
Alaska
Best major-city chance: Anchorage
North Dakota
Best major-city chance: Grand Forks
Minnesota
Best major-city chance: Duluth
Utah
Best major-city chance: Logan
Montana
Best major-city chance: Bozeman
South Dakota
Best major-city chance: Sioux Falls
Wisconsin
Best major-city chance: Eau Claire
Wyoming
Best major-city chance: Casper
Michigan
Best major-city chance: Lansing
New Hampshire
Best major-city chance: Manchester
Iowa
Best major-city chance: Dubuque
Illinois
Best major-city chance: Hoffman Estates
Colorado
Best major-city chance: Greeley
Maine
Best major-city chance: Portland
Nebraska
Best major-city chance: Omaha