Census ZIP Code Tabulation Area
Will ZIP 86504 have a white Christmas?
Snow-on-the-ground odds near Sawmill, AZ, for December 25, 2026.
The historical picture
The validated 1991–2020 spatial model indicates an estimated 16% chance of at least one inch of snow on the ground at this ZCTA’s Census internal point.
ACS population
5,760
Land area
201.62 sq mi
Nearest station
30 mi
3DEP elevation
7,513 ft
Climate period
1991–2020
This is a Census ZCTA, not a USPS delivery-route boundary. Its internal point is 2 miles from Sawmill. The estimate retains all four NOAA source stations and their interpolation weights. This ZCTA crosses a state line; Arizona is shown because it contains the largest share of its land area.
Frequently asked questions
- Will ZIP 86504 have a white Christmas?
- Its validated 1991–2020 historical estimate is 16%, or about about 2 years in 10. Inside the forecast window, live ensemble guidance is blended with that history.
- Is this the exact USPS ZIP boundary?
- No. The Census Bureau creates ZIP Code Tabulation Areas to approximate the geography of USPS ZIP Codes. USPS delivery routes can change and do not form a permanent national polygon dataset.